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geopolitical-risk
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skills/macro/geopolitical-risk/SKILL.md
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# Geopolitical Risk for Trading
## When to Activate
- Assessing the market impact of geopolitical events (conflicts, sanctions, elections)
- Building scenario analysis frameworks for geopolitical uncertainty
- Trading supply chain disruptions caused by geopolitical events
- Evaluating safe haven flows and war premiums in commodities
- Analyzing sanctions regimes and their impact on markets and capital flows
## Core Concepts
### Geopolitical Risk Measurement
**GPR Index (Caldara & Iacoviello):**
- Text-based index counting geopolitical risk references in major newspapers