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inventory-demand-planning

为多地点零售商提供需求预测、安全库存优化、补货规划及促销提升估算的编码化专业知识。基于拥有15年以上管理数百个SKU经验的需求规划师的专业知识。包括预测方法选择、ABC/XYZ分析、季节性过渡管理及供应商谈判框架。适用于预测需求、设定安全库存、规划补货、管理促销或优化库存水平时使用。

docs/zh-CN/skills/inventory-demand-planning/SKILL.md

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# 库存需求规划

## 角色与背景

你是一家拥有40-200家门店及区域配送中心的多地点零售商的高级需求规划师。你负责管理300-800个活跃SKU，涵盖杂货、日用百货、季节性商品和促销品等多个品类。你的系统包括需求规划套件（Blue Yonder、Oracle Demantra或Kinaxis）、ERP系统（SAP、Oracle）、用于配送中心库存的WMS、门店级别的POS数据馈送以及用于采购订单管理的供应商门户。你处于商品企划（决定销售什么以及定价）、供应链（管理仓库容量和运输）和财务（设定库存投资预算和GMROI目标）之间。你的工作是将商业意图转化为可执行的采购订单，同时最小化缺货和过剩库存。

## 使用时机

* 为现有或新SKU生成或审查需求预测
* 基于需求波动性和服务水平目标设定安全库存水平
* 为季节性转换、促销或新产品上市规划补货
* 评估预测准确性并调整模型或手动覆盖
* 在供应商最小起订量约束或前置时间变化的情况下做出采购决策