muyen/meihua-yishu

[Credential-related source omitted]

For the full license text, see: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/legalcode

https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/legalcode

[![License: CC BY-NC-SA 4.0](https://img.shields.io/badge/License-CC%20BY--NC--SA%204.0-lightgrey.svg)](https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/)

> **Prefer a web app?** Try the hosted version at [iyarrow.xyz](https://iyarrow.xyz) — no Claude Code setup required.

https://github.com/muyen/meihua-yishu

# Personal skills (works across all projects) git clone https://github.com/muyen/meihua-yishu.git ~/.claude/skills/meihua-yishu

git clone https://github.com/muyen/meihua-yishu.git ~/.claude/skills/meihua-yishu

# Or for a specific project git clone https://github.com/muyen/meihua-yishu.git .claude/skills/meihua-yishu

git clone https://github.com/muyen/meihua-yishu.git .claude/skills/meihua-yishu

1. Create a new GPT at https://chatgpt.com/gpts/editor

1. Create a new Gem at https://gemini.google.com/gems

This work is licensed under the [Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License](https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/).

- [Decoding I Ching](https://github.com/muyen/decoding-iching) — Text-analysis research on I Ching patterns. This skill no longer uses any of its metrics: the hexagram-level 吉率 / attractor-repellor classification it once supplied was retrac

[![License: CC BY-NC-SA 4.0](https://img.shields.io/badge/License-CC%20BY--NC--SA%204.0-lightgrey.svg)](https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/)

> **想直接使用網頁版？** 前往 [iyarrow.xyz](https://iyarrow.xyz)，免安裝 Claude Code。

https://github.com/muyen/meihua-yishu

# 個人技能（適用於所有專案） git clone https://github.com/muyen/meihua-yishu.git ~/.claude/skills/meihua-yishu

git clone https://github.com/muyen/meihua-yishu.git ~/.claude/skills/meihua-yishu

# 或針對特定專案 git clone https://github.com/muyen/meihua-yishu.git .claude/skills/meihua-yishu

git clone https://github.com/muyen/meihua-yishu.git .claude/skills/meihua-yishu

1. 前往 https://chatgpt.com/gpts/editor 建立新 GPT

1. 前往 https://gemini.google.com/gems 建立新 Gem

本作品採用[創用 CC 姓名標示-非商業性-相同方式分享 4.0 國際授權條款](https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/deed.zh_TW)。

- **[易經模式分析研究](https://github.com/muyen/decoding-iching)** — 以數據分析方法研究易經模式。本技能已不再採用其任何數值：該專案 2026-07 自我複查已撤回卦層級的吉率與吸引子／排斥子分類（每卦僅 6 爻，隨機打散標籤一樣冒出同等極端的分類，置換檢定 p=0.35／0.52）。

### API Documentation - Polymarket API: https://docs.polymarket.com/

- Polymarket API: https://docs.polymarket.com/

- CLOB API: https://docs.polymarket.com/#clob-api

**Issue**: For [McNemar's test](https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/1509223/), sample size depends critically on the **proportion of discordant pairs** (cases where control and meihua disagree). The current formula assumes 50% discordant pairs.

**Recommendation**: 1. Pre-specify ONE primary hypothesis (e.g., "Any Meihua method vs Control") 2. Apply [Bonferroni correction](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bonferroni_correction) for secondary analyses

1. Pre-specify ONE primary hypothesis (e.g., "Any Meihua method vs Control") 2. Apply [Bonferroni correction](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bonferroni_correction) for secondary analyses 3. Or use a hierarchical testing procedure

2. Apply [Bonferroni correction](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bonferroni_correction) for secondary analyses

**Finding**: The experiment doesn't account for [favorite-longshot bias](https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.1516179112).

1. Use **market probability as baseline**, not 50% 2. Compare: Does Meihua outperform the market consensus? 3. Alternative metric: [Brier Score](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brier_score) for calibration

3. Alternative metric: [Brier Score](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brier_score) for calibration

⚠<U+FE0F> **Issues**: 1. Same person (you) runs both agents → potential [experimenter bias](https://libguides.uark.edu/bias/research)

1. Same person (you) runs both agents → potential [experimenter bias](https://libguides.uark.edu/bias/research)

This is a significant weakness per [current best practices](https://www.psychologicalscience.org/observer/preregistration-replication-and-nonexperimental-studies).

**Issue**: Without pre-registration, results are vulnerable to: - [HARKing](https://www.clrn.org/what-is-harking-in-psychology/) (Hypothesizing After Results Known)

- [HARKing](https://www.clrn.org/what-is-harking-in-psychology/) (Hypothesizing After Results Known)

**Strong Recommendation**: 1. Pre-register on [OSF](https://osf.io/) before collecting data

1. Pre-register on [OSF](https://osf.io/) before collecting data

Per the [replication crisis](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Replication_crisis), even significant findings often fail to replicate.

Before starting, register the following on [OSF Registries](https://osf.io/registries):

- [McNemar Test Power Analysis](https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/1509223/)

- [Pre-registration in Psychology](https://www.psychologicalscience.org/observer/preregistration-replication-and-nonexperimental-studies)

- [Prediction Markets for Scientific Research](https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.1516179112)

- [Open Science Framework](https://osf.io/)

- [Replication Crisis](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Replication_crisis)

- [Research Bias Control](https://libguides.uark.edu/bias/research)

- [HARKing in Psychology](https://www.clrn.org/what-is-harking-in-psychology/)

**To register on OSF**: 1. Go to https://osf.io/registries

1. Go to https://osf.io/registries

**Registration Date**: January 18, 2026 **Registration URL**: https://osf.io/uvntf

**Registration URL**: https://osf.io/uvntf

**Registration DOI**: [10.17605/OSF.IO/UVNTF](https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/UVNTF)

**Associated Project**: https://osf.io/xps43

Go to: **https://osf.io/registries/osf/new**

| Planning | ✅ Complete | — | | Expert Review | ✅ Complete | — | | OSF Pre-registration | ✅ [Complete](https://osf.io/uvntf) | — |

| Expert Review | ✅ Complete | — | | OSF Pre-registration | ✅ [Complete](https://osf.io/uvntf) | — | | Pilot | ✅ Complete | 30/30 |

| OSF Pre-registration | ✅ [Complete](https://osf.io/uvntf) | — |

"selection_batch": 1,       "title": "Will Ethan Hawke be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?",       "description": "The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to h

"title": "Will Ethan Hawke be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?",       "description": "The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic an

"description": "The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are sche

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-ethan-hawke-be-nominated-for-best-actor-at-the-98th-academy-awards",

"selection_batch": 1,       "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 21?",       "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the d

"title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 21?",       "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title h

"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Oth

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-98k-on-january-21",

"title": "Will Israel strike 2 countries in January 2026?",       "description": "This market will resolve according to the total number of different sovereign UN member states' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike bet

"description": "This market will resolve according to the total number of different sovereign UN member states' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM E

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-strike-2-countries-in-january-2026",

"selection_batch": 1,       "title": "Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?",       "description": "Former South Korean Prime Minister Han Duck-soo is scheduled to be sentenced on January 21, 2026 in his criminal case incl

"title": "Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?",       "description": "Former South Korean Prime Minister Han Duck-soo is scheduled to be sentenced on January 21, 2026 in his criminal case including charges of aiding an i

"description": "Former South Korean Prime Minister Han Duck-soo is scheduled to be sentenced on January 21, 2026 in his criminal case including charges of aiding an insurrection and perjury, among other charges, related to his involvement i

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-han-duck-soo-be-sentenced-to-510-years-in-prison",

"selection_batch": 1,       "title": "Will USD reach 1.5M Iranian rials by January 31?",       "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast reaches or exceeds 150,000 Iranian toman (equival

"title": "Will USD reach 1.5M Iranian rials by January 31?",       "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast reaches or exceeds 150,000 Iranian toman (equivalent to 1,500,000 Iranian ria

"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast reaches or exceeds 150,000 Iranian toman (equivalent to 1,500,000 Iranian rials) at any point between market creation and January 31, 2026. Othe

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-usd-reach-1pt5m-iranian-rials-by-january-31",

"title": "Australian Open Men's: Terence Atmane vs Francesco Maestrelli",       "description": "This market refers on the tennis match between Terence Atmane and Francesco Maestrelli in the Australian Open ATP, scheduled for January 17 at 7

"description": "This market refers on the tennis match between Terence Atmane and Francesco Maestrelli in the Australian Open ATP, scheduled for January 17 at 7:00PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to 'Atmane' if Terence Atmane advances aga

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/atp-atmane-maestre-2026-01-18",

"title": "Will GE Vernova say \"Administration\" during earnings call?",       "description": "This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of GE Vernova currently scheduled to take place on January 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM 

"description": "This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of GE Vernova currently scheduled to take place on January 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM EST.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed term is mentioned by 

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/earnings-mentions-ge-vernova-2026-01-28-administration-1-times",

"selection_batch": 1,       "title": "Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?",       "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and 

"title": "Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?",       "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federa

"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for March 2026,

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/fed-rate-cut-by-march-2026-meeting",

"selection_batch": 1,       "title": "Will US GDP growth in 2025 be greater than 2.5%?",       "description": "This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2025, as reported in 

"title": "Will US GDP growth in 2025 be greater than 2.5%?",       "description": "This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2025, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analy

"description": "This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2025, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) \"Advance Estimate\" release for Q4 of 2025, scheduled fo

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-us-gdp-growth-in-2025-be-greater-than-2pt5",

"title": "Will Powell say \"Stock Market\" during January press conference?",       "description": "Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on January 28, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This ma

"description": "Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on January 28, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.\n\

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-powell-say-stock-market-during-january-press-conference-344",

"title": "UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)",       "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yadong\" if Song Yadong is officially declared the winner of the fight against Sean O'Malley at UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimb

"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yadong\" if Song Yadong is officially declared the winner of the fight against Sean O'Malley at UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett, scheduled for January 24, 2026.\n\nIt will resolve to \"O'Malley\" 

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-son-sea1-2026-01-24",

"selection_batch": 1,       "title": "Will Google reach $355 in January?",       "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point during January 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) has a final \"High

"title": "Will Google reach $355 in January?",       "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point during January 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) has a final \"High\" price equal to or above t

"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point during January 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) has a final \"High\" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve 

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-googl-reach-355-in-january",

"selection_batch": 1,       "title": "Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?",       "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the booster for the twelfth Starship-SuperHeavy test is succes

"title": "Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?",       "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the booster for the twelfth Starship-SuperHeavy test is successfully caught by the chopsti

"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the booster for the twelfth Starship-SuperHeavy test is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower during its landing attempt. Otherwise, this market will resolve

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-chopsticks-catch-spacex-starship-flight-test-12-superheavy-booster-488-561",

"selection_batch": 1,       "title": "Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of January 2026?",       "description": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the C

"title": "Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of January 2026?",       "description": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard

"description": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on January 31, 2026

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-xai-have-the-2-ai-model-at-the-end-of-january-2026",

"title": "Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriff's by January 31?",       "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Supreme Court issues an official ruling in the case Donald J. Trump, et al., v. V.O.S. 

"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Supreme Court issues an official ruling in the case Donald J. Trump, et al., v. V.O.S. Selections, Inc. by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will reso

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-supreme-court-rule-on-trumps-tarriffs-by-january-31",

"selection_batch": 1,       "title": "Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election in the Lisbon district?",       "description": "Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or

"title": "Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election in the Lisbon district?",       "description": "Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a pos

"description": "Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid vote

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-antnio-jos-seguro-win-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-portugal-presidential-election-in-the-lisbon-district",

"title": "Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?",       "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between January 1 and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will res

"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between January 1 and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA talk is defined as any interaction between 

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-talk-to-vladimir-putin-in-january",

"selection_batch": 1,       "title": "Will all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?",       "description": "On January 17, Donald Trump threatened to impose new tariffs on Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, The Unite

"title": "Will all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?",       "description": "On January 17, Donald Trump threatened to impose new tariffs on Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, The United Kingdom, The Netherlands, 

"description": "On January 17, Donald Trump threatened to impose new tariffs on Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, The United Kingdom, The Netherlands, and Finland, which would begin on February 1 and would remain in effect until a d

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-all-of-trumps-greenland-tariffs-go-into-effect-by-feb-1",

"selection_batch": 1,       "title": "Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?",       "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Zaliznychne, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, by

"title": "Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?",       "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Zaliznychne, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, by January 31, 2026, at 11:59 

"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Zaliznychne, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, by January 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTerritory will be considered captured if any part of 

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-enter-zaliznychne-by-january-31",

"selection_batch": 1,       "title": "Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the February Meeting?",       "description": "This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s Feb

"title": "Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the February Meeting?",       "description": "This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s February meeting, relative to t

"description": "This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s February meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is informati

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-bank-of-russia-decrease-the-key-rate-after-the-february-meeting",

"selection_batch": 1,       "title": "Will Guillermo del Toro be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?",       "description": "The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (A

"title": "Will Guillermo del Toro be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?",       "description": "The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding a

"description": "The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are sche

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-guillermo-del-toro-be-nominated-for-best-director-at-the-98th-academy-awards",

"title": "Will Kendrick Lamar perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards?",       "description": "This market will resolve according to the listed artists who perform live and in person at the 2026 Grammy Awards, scheduled for February 1, 2026. Appe

"description": "This market will resolve according to the listed artists who perform live and in person at the 2026 Grammy Awards, scheduled for February 1, 2026. Appearances during which the listed artist does not perform will not count to

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-kendrick-lamar-perform-at-the-2026-grammy-awards",

"selection_batch": 1,       "title": "Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?",       "description": "The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to

"title": "Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?",       "description": "The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic 

"description": "The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are sche

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-teyana-taylor-win-best-supporting-actress-at-the-98th-academy-awards",

"selection_batch": 1,       "title": "Will Leon Thomas win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?",       "description": "The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nomin

"title": "Will Leon Thomas win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?",       "description": "The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for Nov

"description": "The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 7, 2025, and the ceremony for February 1, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve accordi

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-leon-thomas-win-best-new-artist-at-the-68th-annual-grammy-awards",

"title": "Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of January 2026?",       "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final tradin

"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of January 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to 

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/si-above-90-jan-2026",

"title": "Will Trump say \"Ego\" in January?",       "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between January 2, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market w

"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between January 2, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nPluralization/possessive of t

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-say-ego-in-january",

"selection_batch": 1,       "title": "Will Chloé Zhao be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?",       "description": "The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to

"title": "Will Chloé Zhao be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?",       "description": "The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic 

"description": "The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are sche

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-chlo-zhao-be-nominated-for-best-director-at-the-98th-academy-awards",

"title": "Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?",       "description": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for January 25, 2026\nIf Manchester United FC wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to 

"description": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for January 25, 2026\nIf Manchester United FC wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/epl-ars-mun-2026-01-25-mun",

"title": "Australian Open Women's: Iva Jovic vs Katie Volynets",       "description": "This market refers on the tennis match between Iva Jovic and Katie Volynets in the Australian Open WTA, scheduled for January 17 at 7:00PM ET.\n\nThis ma

"description": "This market refers on the tennis match between Iva Jovic and Katie Volynets in the Australian Open WTA, scheduled for January 17 at 7:00PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to 'Jovic' if Iva Jovic advances against Katie Volyne

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/wta-jovic-volynet-2026-01-18",

"title": "Australian Open Men's: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Jordan Thompson",       "description": "This market refers on the tennis match between Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Jordan Thompson in the Australian Open ATP, scheduled for January 17 

"description": "This market refers on the tennis match between Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Jordan Thompson in the Australian Open ATP, scheduled for January 17 at 7:00PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to 'Cerundolo' if Juan Manuel Cerundolo 

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/atp-cerund-thomps-2026-01-18",

"title": "Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 28?",       "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Russian Armed Forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Kyiv municipality's on the listed date East

"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Russian Armed Forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Kyiv municipality's on the listed date Eastern European Time (EET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-january-28-567",

"title": "Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 27?",       "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Russian Armed Forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Kyiv municipality's on the listed date East

"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Russian Armed Forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Kyiv municipality's on the listed date Eastern European Time (EET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-january-27-376",

"title": "Pistons vs. Warriors",       "description": "In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 30 at 10:00PM ET:\nIf the Pistons win, the market will resolve to \"Pistons\".\nIf the Warriors win, the market will resolve to \"Warrior

"description": "In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 30 at 10:00PM ET:\nIf the Pistons win, the market will resolve to \"Pistons\".\nIf the Warriors win, the market will resolve to \"Warriors\".\nIf the game is postponed, this ma

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nba-det-gsw-2026-01-30",

"selection_batch": 2,       "title": "Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?",       "description": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range

"title": "Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?",       "description": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the targe

"description": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis ma

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-no-change-in-fed-interest-rates-after-the-march-2026-meeting",

"selection_batch": 2,       "title": "Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?",       "description": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rang

"title": "Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?",       "description": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the targ

"description": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis ma

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-fed-decrease-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-the-march-2026-meeting",

"selection_batch": 2,       "title": "Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates",       "description": "This market will resolve immediately to “No” if any of the following conditions are met at any point by March 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:\n\n- The

"title": "Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates",       "description": "This market will resolve immediately to “No” if any of the following conditions are met at any point by March 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:\n\n- The United States Federal Reser

"description": "This market will resolve immediately to “No” if any of the following conditions are met at any point by March 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:\n\n- The United States Federal Reserve increases or decreases the upper bound of the Target

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/nothing-ever-happens-interest-rates",

"title": "Will there be seven or eight announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?",       "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of distinct vessels that Donald Trump, the U.S. 

"description": "This market will resolve according to the number of distinct vessels that Donald Trump, the U.S. government, or U.S. armed forces announce were struck by U.S. armed forces while designated as narco-terrorist targets between 

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-seven-or-eight-announced-new-us-armed-forces-strikes-against-drug-boats-by-january-31-2026",

"title": "Will Ham Ye-jin make a final pair in Single's Inferno: Season 5?",       "description": "The finale of Single's Inferno: Season 5 is scheduled to release on Netflix on February 10, 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if 

"description": "The finale of Single's Inferno: Season 5 is scheduled to release on Netflix on February 10, 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed participant successfully makes a final pair and leaves the island with t

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-ham-ye-jin-make-a-final-pair-in-singles-inferno-season-5",

"title": "Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?",       "description": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for January 28, 2026\nIf Paris Saint-Germain FC wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve

"description": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for January 28, 2026\nIf Paris Saint-Germain FC wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain op

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ucl-psg1-new1-2026-01-28-psg1",

"selection_batch": 2,       "title": "Will Apple dip to $232 in January?",       "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point during January 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) has a final \"Low\" price e

"title": "Will Apple dip to $232 in January?",       "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point during January 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) has a final \"Low\" price equal to or below the listed 

"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point during January 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) has a final \"Low\" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-aapl-dip-to-232-in-january",

"selection_batch": 2,       "title": "Will the US add between 75k and 100k jobs in January?",       "description": "This market will resolve according to the nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS \"Employment Situation Summary\" fo

"title": "Will the US add between 75k and 100k jobs in January?",       "description": "This market will resolve according to the nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS \"Employment Situation Summary\" for January 2026, scheduled to

"description": "This market will resolve according to the nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS \"Employment Situation Summary\" for January 2026, scheduled to be released on February 6, 2026, 8:30 AM ET.\n\nIf the reported value f

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-add-between-75k-and-100k-jobs-in-january",

"title": "Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?",       "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl LX. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf at any point it becomes imp

"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl LX. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the Super Bowl based on the rules of

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-seattle-seahawks-win-super-bowl-2026",

"selection_batch": 2,       "title": "Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?",       "description": "The U.S. government collected $82.2b in customs duties in FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/files/reports-st

"title": "Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?",       "description": "The U.S. government collected $82.2b in customs duties in FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/files/reports-statements/financial-report/20

"description": "The U.S. government collected $82.2b in customs duties in FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/files/reports-statements/financial-report/2024/notes-to-the-financial-statements19.pdf).\n\nThis market will resolve acc

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-collect-less-than-100b-in-revenue-in-2025",

"title": "Australian Open Women's: Xinyu Wang vs Amanda Anisimova",       "description": "This market refers on the tennis match between Xinyu Wang and Amanda Anisimova in the Australian Open WTA, scheduled for January 25 at 7:00PM ET.\n\nT

"description": "This market refers on the tennis match between Xinyu Wang and Amanda Anisimova in the Australian Open WTA, scheduled for January 25 at 7:00PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to 'Wang' if Xinyu Wang advances against Amanda An

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/wta-wa-anisimo-2026-01-26",

"selection_batch": 2,       "title": "Will Elon Musk's net worth be at least $670b on January 31?",       "description": "This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on January 31, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value

"title": "Will Elon Musk's net worth be at least $670b on January 31?",       "description": "This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on January 31, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two b

"description": "This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on January 31, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe res

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-elon-musks-net-worth-be-at-least-670b-on-january-31",

"selection_batch": 2,       "title": "Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by January 31?",       "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Elon Musk (@elonmusk) changes his X profile picture between market creation and 

"title": "Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by January 31?",       "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Elon Musk (@elonmusk) changes his X profile picture between market creation and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM E

"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Elon Musk (@elonmusk) changes his X profile picture between market creation and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution s

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-elon-musk-change-his-x-profile-picture-by-january-31",

"title": "Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?",       "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas. \n\nIf no 2026 Texas Republican Senat

"description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas. \n\nIf no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resol

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-john-cornyn-win-the-2026-republican-primary",

"title": "Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,975-$5,100 in January?",       "description": "This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of January 2026.\n\nI

"description": "This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of January 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this ma

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/gc-settle-4975-5100-jan-2026",

"title": "Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?",       "description": "As of market creation, Tesla is estimated to release earnings on January 28, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Tesla’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter 

"description": "As of market creation, Tesla is estimated to release earnings on January 28, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Tesla’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.45 as of market creation. This market will resolve to \

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/tsla-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-01-28-2026-0pt45",

"selection_batch": 2,       "title": "Will the Doomsday Clock move by ten seconds or more?",       "description": "The Doomsday Clock is a symbolic clock face that represents the likelihood of a man-made global catastrophe, maintained since

"title": "Will the Doomsday Clock move by ten seconds or more?",       "description": "The Doomsday Clock is a symbolic clock face that represents the likelihood of a man-made global catastrophe, maintained since 1947 by the members of the 

"description": "The Doomsday Clock is a symbolic clock face that represents the likelihood of a man-made global catastrophe, maintained since 1947 by the members of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. The closer the clock is set to midni

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-doomsday-clock-move-by-ten-seconds-or-more",

"selection_batch": 2,       "title": "Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?",       "description": "The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Science

"title": "Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?",       "description": "The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstandi

"description": "The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are sche

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-sentimental-value-win-best-international-feature-film-at-the-98th-academy-awards",

"selection_batch": 2,       "title": "Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?",       "description": "The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AM

"title": "Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?",       "description": "The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding ar

"description": "The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are sche

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-one-battle-after-another-win-best-cinematography-at-the-98th-academy-awards",

"selection_batch": 2,       "title": "Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?",       "description": "The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to h

"title": "Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?",       "description": "The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic an

"description": "The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are sche

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-frankenstein-win-best-production-design-at-the-98th-academy-awards",

"selection_batch": 2,       "title": "Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?",       "description": "The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences

"title": "Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?",       "description": "The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstandin

"description": "The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are sche

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-secret-agent-win-best-international-feature-film-at-the-98th-academy-awards",

"selection_batch": 2,       "title": "Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?",       "description": "The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) 

"title": "Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?",       "description": "The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artisti

"description": "The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are sche

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-stellan-skarsgrd-win-best-supporting-actor-at-the-98th-academy-awards",

"title": "Will Dua Lipa perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?",       "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Dua Lipa performs live and in person during the Super Bowl LX halftime show currently scheduled for Febru

"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Dua Lipa performs live and in person during the Super Bowl LX halftime show currently scheduled for February 8, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIf this event is 

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-dua-lipa-perform-during-the-super-bowl-lx-halftime-show-523",

"selection_batch": 2,       "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 30?",       "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the d

"title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 30?",       "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title h

"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Oth

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-92k-on-january-30",

"selection_batch": 2,       "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 29?",       "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the d

"title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 29?",       "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title h

"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Oth

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-84k-on-january-29",

"selection_batch": 2,       "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 29?",       "description": "This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USD

"title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 29?",       "description": "This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (

"description": "This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-between-86000-88000-on-january-29",

"selection_batch": 2,       "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 28?",       "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the d

"title": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 28?",       "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title h

"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Oth

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ethereum-above-2900-on-january-28",

"selection_batch": 2,       "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 30?",       "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the d

"title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 30?",       "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title h

"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Oth

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-88k-on-january-30",

"selection_batch": 2,       "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 28?",       "description": "This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USD

"title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 28?",       "description": "This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (

"description": "This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-between-88000-90000-on-january-28",

"title": "Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 28?",       "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if MegaETH launches a token and performs an airdrop by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this mar

"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if MegaETH launches a token and performs an airdrop by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purposes of this market \"l

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-megaeth-perform-an-airdrop-by-february-28-623-432",

"selection_batch": 2,       "title": "Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election?",       "description": "The 2026 Costa Rican general election is scheduled for February 1, 2026. Th

"title": "Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election?",       "description": "The 2026 Costa Rican general election is scheduled for February 1, 2026. The President of Costa Rica is

"description": "The 2026 Costa Rican general election is scheduled for February 1, 2026. The President of Costa Rica is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 40% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no c

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-any-presidential-candidate-win-outright-in-the-first-round-of-costa-ricas-presidential-election",

"title": "Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?",       "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bill or Hillary Clinton (or both Bill and Hillary Clinton) are held in contempt of Congress by Fe

"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bill or Hillary Clinton (or both Bill and Hillary Clinton) are held in contempt of Congress by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nBill or Hill

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-bill-or-hillary-clinton-be-held-in-contempt-of-congress-by-feb-28",

"title": "Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 29, 2026?",       "description": "This market will resolve according to the next date (ET) on which the Trump administration announces a new nomi

"description": "This market will resolve according to the next date (ET) on which the Trump administration announces a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve.\n\nAn announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating th

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-donald-trump-announce-a-new-nominee-for-chair-of-the-federal-reserve-on-january-29-2026",

"title": "Will Trump say \"Central Casting\" this week? (February 1)",       "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between January 26, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between January 26, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nPluralization/possessive of 

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-say-central-casting-this-week-february-1",

"title": "Will House and Senate pass funding bill by January 30, 2026?",       "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if both the US House and Senate pass the same government funding bill between market creation and the listed 

"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if both the US House and Senate pass the same government funding bill between market creation and the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor this ma

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-house-and-senate-pass-funding-bill-by-january-30-2026",

"selection_batch": 2,       "title": "Will Trump say \"Monroe\" during the State of the Union address?",       "description": "Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about 

"title": "Will Trump say \"Monroe\" during the State of the Union address?",       "description": "Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohns

"description": "Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812\n\nThis market will resolve t

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-say-monroe-during-the-state-of-the-union-address-457",

"selection_batch": 2,       "title": "Will Trump say \"Crypto\" or \"Bitcoin\" during the 2026 State of the Union address?",       "description": "Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You 

"title": "Will Trump say \"Crypto\" or \"Bitcoin\" during the 2026 State of the Union address?",       "description": "Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that her

"description": "Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812\n\nThis market will resolve t

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-say-crypto-or-bitcoin-during-the-2026-state-of-the-union-address",

"selection_batch": 2,       "title": "Will Trump say \"Reagan\" during the State of the Union address?",       "description": "Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about 

"title": "Will Trump say \"Reagan\" during the State of the Union address?",       "description": "Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohns

"description": "Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812\n\nThis market will resolve t

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-say-reagan-during-the-state-of-the-union-address-214",

"selection_batch": 2,       "title": "Will Meta (META) close above $700 end of January?",       "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the official closing price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on the final trading day of Ja

"title": "Will Meta (META) close above $700 end of January?",       "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the official closing price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on the final trading day of January 2026 is higher than th

"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the official closing price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on the final trading day of January 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/meta-above-700-on-january-30-2026",

"title": "Will the Denver Broncos be eliminated in the Super Bowl?",       "description": "This market will resolve according to the stage of elimination for the Denver Broncos in the 2025–26 NFL Playoffs.\n\nThe market will immediately res

"description": "This market will resolve according to the stage of elimination for the Denver Broncos in the 2025–26 NFL Playoffs.\n\nThe market will immediately resolve once the Denver Broncos’ stage of elimination can be confirmed.\n\nIf 

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-denver-broncos-be-eliminated-in-the-super-bowl",

"title": "Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?",       "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl LX. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf at any point it becomes imp

"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl LX. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the Super Bowl based on the rules of

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-los-angeles-rams-win-super-bowl-2026",

"title": "Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-28?",       "description": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for January 28, 2026\nIf FC Internazionale Milano wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will res

"description": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for January 28, 2026\nIf FC Internazionale Milano wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain 

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ucl-bvb-int-2026-01-28-int",

"title": "Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz",       "description": "This market refers on the tennis match between Lorenzo Musetti and Taylor Fritz in the Australian Open ATP, scheduled for January 25 at 7:00PM ET.\n\nT

"description": "This market refers on the tennis match between Lorenzo Musetti and Taylor Fritz in the Australian Open ATP, scheduled for January 25 at 7:00PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to 'Musetti' if Lorenzo Musetti advances against 

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/atp-musetti-fritz-2026-01-26",

"selection_batch": 2,       "title": "Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.1m?",       "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the final sale price paid for the Pokemon Base Set 1st Edition Holo #4 C

"title": "Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.1m?",       "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the final sale price paid for the Pokemon Base Set 1st Edition Holo #4 Charizard - Logan Paul Break 

"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the final sale price paid for the Pokemon Base Set 1st Edition Holo #4 Charizard - Logan Paul Break is greater than the listed price. Otherwise this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-logan-paul-1st-edition-charizard-sale-price-be-over-1pt1m",

"title": "Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?",       "description": "This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of January 2026.\n\nIf the 

"description": "This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of January 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this ma

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/gc-settle-above-5100-jan-2026",

"title": "Will New England face Los Angeles R in Super Bowl LX?",       "description": "This market will resolve according to the teams that advance to Super Bowl LX. \n\nIf the Super Bowl LX matchup has not been confirmed by February 8, 20

"description": "This market will resolve according to the teams that advance to Super Bowl LX. \n\nIf the Super Bowl LX matchup has not been confirmed by February 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nAn announcem

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-new-england-face-los-angeles-r-in-super-bowl-lx",

"selection_batch": 2,       "title": "Will MrBeast hit 109.5 billion views by January 31?",       "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits the specified numbe

"title": "Will MrBeast hit 109.5 billion views by January 31?",       "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits the specified number of views by January 31, 20

"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits the specified number of views by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.  Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nTh

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-mrbeast-hit-109pt5-billion-views-by-january-31",

"selection_batch": 2,       "title": "Will Meta (META) close above $680 end of January?",       "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the official closing price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on the final trading day of Ja

"title": "Will Meta (META) close above $680 end of January?",       "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the official closing price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on the final trading day of January 2026 is higher than th

"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the official closing price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on the final trading day of January 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/meta-above-680-on-january-30-2026",

"selection_batch": 2,       "title": "Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on January 28?",       "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date sp

"title": "Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on January 28?",       "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a f

"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Oth

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/xrp-above-1pt8-on-january-28",

"title": "Will Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?",       "description": "As of market creation, Eli Lilly and Company is estimated to release earnings on February 4, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Eli Lilly and C

"description": "As of market creation, Eli Lilly and Company is estimated to release earnings on February 4, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Eli Lilly and Company’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $7.06 as of market creatio

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/lly-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-02-04-2026-7pt06",

"selection_batch": 2,       "title": "Will Epstein Data Set 9 be released before March?",       "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Data Set 9 of the Epstein Files is released between market creation and February 28, 2026

"title": "Will Epstein Data Set 9 be released before March?",       "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Data Set 9 of the Epstein Files is released between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, thi

"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Data Set 9 of the Epstein Files is released between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA qualifying data set will be la

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-epstein-data-set-9-be-released-before-march",

"title": "Will Ulster win?",       "description": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for January 31 2026\nIf Ulster wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this mar

"description": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for January 31 2026\nIf Ulster wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/ruurc-uls-car-2026-01-31-uls",

"selection_batch": 2,       "title": "Will Germany win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?",       "description": "This market will resolve according to the country that wins the most medals (including gold, silver, and bronze) at 

"title": "Will Germany win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?",       "description": "This market will resolve according to the country that wins the most medals (including gold, silver, and bronze) at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Wint

"description": "This market will resolve according to the country that wins the most medals (including gold, silver, and bronze) at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics, scheduled for February 6-22, 2026.\n\nIn the case of ties, the orde

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-germany-win-the-most-medals-in-the-2026-winter-olympics",

"title": "Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Super Bowl?",       "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bad Bunny is photographed or videotaped wearing a dress or skirt at the 2026 Super Bowl. Otherwise, this market will 

"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bad Bunny is photographed or videotaped wearing a dress or skirt at the 2026 Super Bowl. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA dress refers to a women's one-piece garment cove

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/bad-bunny-wears-a-dress-at-the-super-bowl",

"selection_batch": 2,       "title": "Will NVIDIA reach $200 in January?",       "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point during January 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) has a final \"High\" price

"title": "Will NVIDIA reach $200 in January?",       "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point during January 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) has a final \"High\" price equal to or above the liste

"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point during January 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) has a final \"High\" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-nvda-reach-200-in-january",

"title": "Will Denver face Los Angeles R in Super Bowl LX?",       "description": "This market will resolve according to the teams that advance to Super Bowl LX. \n\nIf the Super Bowl LX matchup has not been confirmed by February 8, 2026, 1

"description": "This market will resolve according to the teams that advance to Super Bowl LX. \n\nIf the Super Bowl LX matchup has not been confirmed by February 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nAn announcem

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-denver-face-los-angeles-r-in-super-bowl-lx",

"title": "Will Ja Morant be traded this season?",       "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed NBA player is traded from their current team to another NBA team before the 2025-2026 NBA trade deadline. Otherwise, t

"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed NBA player is traded from their current team to another NBA team before the 2025-2026 NBA trade deadline. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe NBA trade dead

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-ja-morant-be-traded-this-season",

"selection_batch": 2,       "title": "Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?",       "description": "This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 

"title": "Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?",       "description": "This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur any

"description": "This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 26, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-exactly-0-earthquakes-of-magnitude-6pt5-or-higher-worldwide-by-february-1",

"title": "Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?",       "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if an Iran-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Israel is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the l

"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if an Iran-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Israel is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will res

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/iran-strike-on-israel-by-february-28",

"selection_batch": 2,       "title": "Will Australia win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?",       "description": "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 ICC T20 Men’s World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it bec

"title": "Will Australia win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?",       "description": "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 ICC T20 Men’s World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for the list

"description": "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 ICC T20 Men’s World Cup.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the 2026 ICC T20 Men’s World Cup based on the rules of t

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-australia-win-the-2026-icc-mens-t20-world-cup",

"selection_batch": 2,       "title": "Will DoorDash report 900 million or more total orders in Q4 2025?",       "description": "This market will resolve according to DoorDash’s announced total orders for Q4 2025.\n\nIf DoorDash does not pub

"title": "Will DoorDash report 900 million or more total orders in Q4 2025?",       "description": "This market will resolve according to DoorDash’s announced total orders for Q4 2025.\n\nIf DoorDash does not publish Q4 2025 total order fig

"description": "This market will resolve according to DoorDash’s announced total orders for Q4 2025.\n\nIf DoorDash does not publish Q4 2025 total order figures by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-doordash-report-900-million-or-more-total-orders-in-q4-2025",

"title": "Set Handicap: Struff (-1.5) vs Kopriva (+1.5)",       "description": "This market refers to the tennis match between Jan-Lennard Struff and Vit Kopriva in the Australian Open ATP, scheduled for January 18 2026.\nThis market will r

"description": "This market refers to the tennis match between Jan-Lennard Struff and Vit Kopriva in the Australian Open ATP, scheduled for January 18 2026.\nThis market will resolve to \"Struff\" if Jan-Lennard Struff wins by 2 or more set

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/atp-kopriva-struff-2026-01-18-set-handicap-away-1pt5",

"selection_batch": 2,       "title": "Will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be less than $1,130,000 by February 1?",       "description": "This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types

"title": "Will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be less than $1,130,000 by February 1?",       "description": "This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro ar

"description": "This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on February 1, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-median-home-value-in-the-los-angeles-metro-area-be-less-than-1130000-by-february-1",

"selection_batch": 2,       "title": "Will Italy join the Board of Peace?",       "description": "Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace wh

"title": "Will Italy join the Board of Peace?",       "description": "Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict re

"description": "Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reute

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-italy-join-the-board-of-peace",

"selection_batch": 2,       "title": "Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?",       "description": "This is a polymarket to predict which club will win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup.\n\nIf the listed club is officially crowned the winner of t

"title": "Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?",       "description": "This is a polymarket to predict which club will win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup.\n\nIf the listed club is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 Carabao Cup, this

"description": "This is a polymarket to predict which club will win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup.\n\nIf the listed club is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 Carabao Cup, this market will resolve to \"Yes.\" Otherwise, it will resolve 

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-arsenal-win-the-202526-carabao-cup",

"selection_batch": 2,       "title": "Will NVIDIA dip to $176 in January?",       "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point during January 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) has a final \"Low\" price

"title": "Will NVIDIA dip to $176 in January?",       "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point during January 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) has a final \"Low\" price equal to or below the liste

"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if, at any point during January 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) has a final \"Low\" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\"

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/will-nvda-dip-to-176-in-january",

"title": "Australian Open Women's: Elena Rybakina vs Elise Mertens",       "description": "This market refers on the tennis match between Elena Rybakina and Elise Mertens in the Australian Open WTA, scheduled for January 25 at 7:00PM ET.\n\

"description": "This market refers on the tennis match between Elena Rybakina and Elise Mertens in the Australian Open WTA, scheduled for January 25 at 7:00PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to 'Rybakina' if Elena Rybakina advances against 

"url": "https://polymarket.com/event/wta-rybakin-mertens-2026-01-26",

## Will Ethan Hawke be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Award - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-ethan-hawke-be-nominated-for-best-actor-at-the-98th-academy-awards

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-ethan-hawke-be-nominated-for-best-actor-at-the-98th-academy-awards

## Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 21? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-98k-on-january-21

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-98k-on-january-21

## Will Israel strike 2 countries in January 2026? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-strike-2-countries-in-january-2026

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-strike-2-countries-in-january-2026

## Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-han-duck-soo-be-sentenced-to-510-years-in-prison

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-han-duck-soo-be-sentenced-to-510-years-in-prison

## Will USD reach 1.5M Iranian rials by January 31? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-usd-reach-1pt5m-iranian-rials-by-january-31

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-usd-reach-1pt5m-iranian-rials-by-january-31

## Australian Open Men's: Terence Atmane vs Francesco Maestrelli - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-atmane-maestre-2026-01-18

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-atmane-maestre-2026-01-18

## Will GE Vernova say "Administration" during earnings call? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/earnings-mentions-ge-vernova-2026-01-28-administration-1-times

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/earnings-mentions-ge-vernova-2026-01-28-administration-1-times

## Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/fed-rate-cut-by-march-2026-meeting

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/fed-rate-cut-by-march-2026-meeting

## Will US GDP growth in 2025 be greater than 2.5%? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-us-gdp-growth-in-2025-be-greater-than-2pt5

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-us-gdp-growth-in-2025-be-greater-than-2pt5

## Will Powell say "Stock Market" during January press conference? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-powell-say-stock-market-during-january-press-conference-344

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-powell-say-stock-market-during-january-press-conference-344

## UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card) - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-son-sea1-2026-01-24

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-son-sea1-2026-01-24

## Will Google reach $355 in January? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-googl-reach-355-in-january

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-googl-reach-355-in-january

## Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy bo - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-chopsticks-catch-spacex-starship-flight-test-12-superheavy-booster-488-561

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-chopsticks-catch-spacex-starship-flight-test-12-superheavy-booster-488-561

## Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of January 2026? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-xai-have-the-2-ai-model-at-the-end-of-january-2026

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-xai-have-the-2-ai-model-at-the-end-of-january-2026

## Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriff's by January 31? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-supreme-court-rule-on-trumps-tarriffs-by-january-31

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-supreme-court-rule-on-trumps-tarriffs-by-january-31

## Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presid - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-antnio-jos-seguro-win-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-portugal-presidential-election-in-the-lisbon-district

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-antnio-jos-seguro-win-the-1st-round-of-the-2026-portugal-presidential-election-in-the-lisbon-district

## Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-talk-to-vladimir-putin-in-january

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-talk-to-vladimir-putin-in-january

## Will all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-all-of-trumps-greenland-tariffs-go-into-effect-by-feb-1

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-all-of-trumps-greenland-tariffs-go-into-effect-by-feb-1

## Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-enter-zaliznychne-by-january-31

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-enter-zaliznychne-by-january-31

## Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the February Meeti - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-bank-of-russia-decrease-the-key-rate-after-the-february-meeting

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-bank-of-russia-decrease-the-key-rate-after-the-february-meeting

## Will Guillermo del Toro be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Aca - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-guillermo-del-toro-be-nominated-for-best-director-at-the-98th-academy-awards

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-guillermo-del-toro-be-nominated-for-best-director-at-the-98th-academy-awards

## Will Kendrick Lamar perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-kendrick-lamar-perform-at-the-2026-grammy-awards

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-kendrick-lamar-perform-at-the-2026-grammy-awards

## Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awa - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-teyana-taylor-win-best-supporting-actress-at-the-98th-academy-awards

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-teyana-taylor-win-best-supporting-actress-at-the-98th-academy-awards

## Will Leon Thomas win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-leon-thomas-win-best-new-artist-at-the-68th-annual-grammy-awards

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-leon-thomas-win-best-new-artist-at-the-68th-annual-grammy-awards

## Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of January 2 - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/si-above-90-jan-2026

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/si-above-90-jan-2026

## Will Trump say "Ego" in January? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-say-ego-in-january

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-say-ego-in-january

## Will Chloé Zhao be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awa - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-chlo-zhao-be-nominated-for-best-director-at-the-98th-academy-awards

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-chlo-zhao-be-nominated-for-best-director-at-the-98th-academy-awards

## Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/epl-ars-mun-2026-01-25-mun

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/epl-ars-mun-2026-01-25-mun

## Australian Open Women's: Iva Jovic vs Katie Volynets - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/wta-jovic-volynet-2026-01-18

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/wta-jovic-volynet-2026-01-18

## Australian Open Men's: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Jordan Thompson - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-cerund-thomps-2026-01-18

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-cerund-thomps-2026-01-18

## Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 28? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-january-28-567

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-january-28-567

## Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 27? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-january-27-376

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-strike-on-kyiv-municipality-on-january-27-376

## Pistons vs. Warriors - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/nba-det-gsw-2026-01-30

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/nba-det-gsw-2026-01-30

## Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 mee - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-no-change-in-fed-interest-rates-after-the-march-2026-meeting

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-no-change-in-fed-interest-rates-after-the-march-2026-meeting

## Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 me - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-fed-decrease-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-the-march-2026-meeting

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-fed-decrease-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-the-march-2026-meeting

## Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/nothing-ever-happens-interest-rates

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/nothing-ever-happens-interest-rates

## Will there be seven or eight announced new U.S. armed forces strikes a - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-seven-or-eight-announced-new-us-armed-forces-strikes-against-drug-boats-by-january-31-2026

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-seven-or-eight-announced-new-us-armed-forces-strikes-against-drug-boats-by-january-31-2026

## Will Ham Ye-jin make a final pair in Single's Inferno: Season 5? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-ham-ye-jin-make-a-final-pair-in-singles-inferno-season-5

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-ham-ye-jin-make-a-final-pair-in-singles-inferno-season-5

## Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/ucl-psg1-new1-2026-01-28-psg1

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/ucl-psg1-new1-2026-01-28-psg1

## Will Apple dip to $232 in January? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-aapl-dip-to-232-in-january

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-aapl-dip-to-232-in-january

## Will the US add between 75k and 100k jobs in January? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-add-between-75k-and-100k-jobs-in-january

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-add-between-75k-and-100k-jobs-in-january

## Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-seattle-seahawks-win-super-bowl-2026

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-seattle-seahawks-win-super-bowl-2026

## Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-collect-less-than-100b-in-revenue-in-2025

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-collect-less-than-100b-in-revenue-in-2025

## Australian Open Women's: Xinyu Wang vs Amanda Anisimova - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/wta-wa-anisimo-2026-01-26

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/wta-wa-anisimo-2026-01-26

## Will Elon Musk's net worth be at least $670b on January 31? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-elon-musks-net-worth-be-at-least-670b-on-january-31

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-elon-musks-net-worth-be-at-least-670b-on-january-31

## Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by January 31? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-elon-musk-change-his-x-profile-picture-by-january-31

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-elon-musk-change-his-x-profile-picture-by-january-31

## Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-john-cornyn-win-the-2026-republican-primary

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-john-cornyn-win-the-2026-republican-primary

## Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,975-$5,100 in January? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/gc-settle-4975-5100-jan-2026

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/gc-settle-4975-5100-jan-2026

## Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/tsla-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-01-28-2026-0pt45

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/tsla-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-01-28-2026-0pt45

## Will the Doomsday Clock move by ten seconds or more? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-doomsday-clock-move-by-ten-seconds-or-more

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-doomsday-clock-move-by-ten-seconds-or-more

## Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-sentimental-value-win-best-international-feature-film-at-the-98th-academy-awards

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-sentimental-value-win-best-international-feature-film-at-the-98th-academy-awards

## Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Acad - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-one-battle-after-another-win-best-cinematography-at-the-98th-academy-awards

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-one-battle-after-another-win-best-cinematography-at-the-98th-academy-awards

## Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Award - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-frankenstein-win-best-production-design-at-the-98th-academy-awards

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-frankenstein-win-best-production-design-at-the-98th-academy-awards

## Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th  - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-secret-agent-win-best-international-feature-film-at-the-98th-academy-awards

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-secret-agent-win-best-international-feature-film-at-the-98th-academy-awards

## Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy A - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-stellan-skarsgrd-win-best-supporting-actor-at-the-98th-academy-awards

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-stellan-skarsgrd-win-best-supporting-actor-at-the-98th-academy-awards

## Will Dua Lipa perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-dua-lipa-perform-during-the-super-bowl-lx-halftime-show-523

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-dua-lipa-perform-during-the-super-bowl-lx-halftime-show-523

## Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 30? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-92k-on-january-30

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-92k-on-january-30

## Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 29? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-84k-on-january-29

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-84k-on-january-29

## Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 29 - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-between-86000-88000-on-january-29

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-between-86000-88000-on-january-29

## Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 28? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/ethereum-above-2900-on-january-28

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/ethereum-above-2900-on-january-28

## Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 30? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-88k-on-january-30

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-88k-on-january-30

## Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 28 - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-between-88000-90000-on-january-28

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-between-88000-90000-on-january-28

## Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 28? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-megaeth-perform-an-airdrop-by-february-28-623-432

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-megaeth-perform-an-airdrop-by-february-28-623-432

## Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Cos - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-any-presidential-candidate-win-outright-in-the-first-round-of-costa-ricas-presidential-election

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-any-presidential-candidate-win-outright-in-the-first-round-of-costa-ricas-presidential-election

## Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28 - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-bill-or-hillary-clinton-be-held-in-contempt-of-congress-by-feb-28

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-bill-or-hillary-clinton-be-held-in-contempt-of-congress-by-feb-28

## Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Rese - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-donald-trump-announce-a-new-nominee-for-chair-of-the-federal-reserve-on-january-29-2026

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-donald-trump-announce-a-new-nominee-for-chair-of-the-federal-reserve-on-january-29-2026

## Will Trump say "Central Casting" this week? (February 1) - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-say-central-casting-this-week-february-1

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-say-central-casting-this-week-february-1

## Will House and Senate pass funding bill by January 30, 2026? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-house-and-senate-pass-funding-bill-by-january-30-2026

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-house-and-senate-pass-funding-bill-by-january-30-2026

## Will Trump say "Monroe" during the State of the Union address? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-say-monroe-during-the-state-of-the-union-address-457

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-say-monroe-during-the-state-of-the-union-address-457

## Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Unio - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-say-crypto-or-bitcoin-during-the-2026-state-of-the-union-address

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-say-crypto-or-bitcoin-during-the-2026-state-of-the-union-address

## Will Trump say "Reagan" during the State of the Union address? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-say-reagan-during-the-state-of-the-union-address-214

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-say-reagan-during-the-state-of-the-union-address-214

## Will Meta (META) close above $700 end of January? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/meta-above-700-on-january-30-2026

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/meta-above-700-on-january-30-2026

## Will the Denver Broncos be eliminated in the Super Bowl? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-denver-broncos-be-eliminated-in-the-super-bowl

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-denver-broncos-be-eliminated-in-the-super-bowl

## Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-los-angeles-rams-win-super-bowl-2026

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-los-angeles-rams-win-super-bowl-2026

## Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-28? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/ucl-bvb-int-2026-01-28-int

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/ucl-bvb-int-2026-01-28-int

## Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-musetti-fritz-2026-01-26

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-musetti-fritz-2026-01-26

## Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.1m? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-logan-paul-1st-edition-charizard-sale-price-be-over-1pt1m

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-logan-paul-1st-edition-charizard-sale-price-be-over-1pt1m

## Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/gc-settle-above-5100-jan-2026

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/gc-settle-above-5100-jan-2026

## Will New England face Los Angeles R in Super Bowl LX? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-new-england-face-los-angeles-r-in-super-bowl-lx

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-new-england-face-los-angeles-r-in-super-bowl-lx

## Will MrBeast hit 109.5 billion views by January 31? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-mrbeast-hit-109pt5-billion-views-by-january-31

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-mrbeast-hit-109pt5-billion-views-by-january-31

## Will Meta (META) close above $680 end of January? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/meta-above-680-on-january-30-2026

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/meta-above-680-on-january-30-2026

## Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on January 28? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/xrp-above-1pt8-on-january-28

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/xrp-above-1pt8-on-january-28

## Will Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) beat quarterly earnings? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/lly-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-02-04-2026-7pt06

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/lly-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-02-04-2026-7pt06

## Will Epstein Data Set 9 be released before March? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-epstein-data-set-9-be-released-before-march

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-epstein-data-set-9-be-released-before-march

## Will Ulster win? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/ruurc-uls-car-2026-01-31-uls

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/ruurc-uls-car-2026-01-31-uls

## Will Germany win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-germany-win-the-most-medals-in-the-2026-winter-olympics

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-germany-win-the-most-medals-in-the-2026-winter-olympics

## Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Super Bowl? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/bad-bunny-wears-a-dress-at-the-super-bowl

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/bad-bunny-wears-a-dress-at-the-super-bowl

## Will NVIDIA reach $200 in January? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-nvda-reach-200-in-january

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-nvda-reach-200-in-january

## Will Denver face Los Angeles R in Super Bowl LX? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-denver-face-los-angeles-r-in-super-bowl-lx

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-denver-face-los-angeles-r-in-super-bowl-lx

## Will Ja Morant be traded this season? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-ja-morant-be-traded-this-season

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-ja-morant-be-traded-this-season

## Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwi - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-exactly-0-earthquakes-of-magnitude-6pt5-or-higher-worldwide-by-february-1

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-exactly-0-earthquakes-of-magnitude-6pt5-or-higher-worldwide-by-february-1

## Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/iran-strike-on-israel-by-february-28

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/iran-strike-on-israel-by-february-28

## Will Australia win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-australia-win-the-2026-icc-mens-t20-world-cup

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-australia-win-the-2026-icc-mens-t20-world-cup

## Will DoorDash report 900 million or more total orders in Q4 2025? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-doordash-report-900-million-or-more-total-orders-in-q4-2025

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-doordash-report-900-million-or-more-total-orders-in-q4-2025

## Set Handicap: Struff (-1.5) vs Kopriva (+1.5) - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-kopriva-struff-2026-01-18-set-handicap-away-1pt5

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-kopriva-struff-2026-01-18-set-handicap-away-1pt5

## Will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be less than - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-median-home-value-in-the-los-angeles-metro-area-be-less-than-1130000-by-february-1

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-median-home-value-in-the-los-angeles-metro-area-be-less-than-1130000-by-february-1

## Will Italy join the Board of Peace? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-italy-join-the-board-of-peace

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-italy-join-the-board-of-peace

## Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-arsenal-win-the-202526-carabao-cup

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-arsenal-win-the-202526-carabao-cup

## Will NVIDIA dip to $176 in January? - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-nvda-dip-to-176-in-january

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/will-nvda-dip-to-176-in-january

## Australian Open Women's: Elena Rybakina vs Elise Mertens - URL: https://polymarket.com/event/wta-rybakin-mertens-2026-01-26

- URL: https://polymarket.com/event/wta-rybakin-mertens-2026-01-26

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

Description: Former South Korean Prime Minister Han Duck-soo is scheduled to be sentenced on January 21, 2026 in his criminal case including charges of aiding an insurrection and perjury, among other charges, related to his involvement in Y

CONTEXT: ======== Description: Former South Korean Prime Minister Han Duck-soo is scheduled to be sentenced on January 21, 2026 in his criminal case including charges of aiding an insurrection and perjury, among other charges, related to hi

Description: Former South Korean Prime Minister Han Duck-soo is scheduled to be sentenced on January 21, 2026 in his criminal case including charges of aiding an insurrection and perjury, among other charges, related to his involvement in Y

This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rial

This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rial

The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product

The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/, with the chart settings on "1m

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/, with the chart settings on "1m

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.

Description: On January 17, Donald Trump threatened to impose new tariffs on Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, The United Kingdom, The Netherlands, and Finland, which would begin on February 1 and would remain in effect until a deal

CONTEXT: ======== Description: On January 17, Donald Trump threatened to impose new tariffs on Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, The United Kingdom, The Netherlands, and Finland, which would begin on February 1 and would remain in e

Description: On January 17, Donald Trump threatened to impose new tariffs on Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, The United Kingdom, The Netherlands, and Finland, which would begin on February 1 and would remain in effect until a deal

Territory will be considered captured if any part of Zaliznychne is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market wi

Territory will be considered captured if any part of Zaliznychne is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market wi

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its February 13, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its February 13, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Apple (AAPL) "Low" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle interval

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Apple (AAPL) "Low" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle interval

Description: The U.S. government collected $82.2b in customs duties in FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/files/reports-statements/financial-report/2024/notes-to-the-financial-statements19.pdf).

This market will resolve according to the value of customs duties collected in FY 2025 according to the Financial Report of the United States Government published by the Treasury Department for FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/

CONTEXT: ======== Description: The U.S. government collected $82.2b in customs duties in FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/files/reports-statements/financial-report/2024/notes-to-the-financial-statements19.pdf).

Description: The U.S. government collected $82.2b in customs duties in FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/files/reports-statements/financial-report/2024/notes-to-the-financial-statements19.pdf).

This market will resolve according to the value of customs duties collected in FY 2025 according to the Financial Report of the United States Government published by the Treasury Department for FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/

The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for January 31, 2026, once th

The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for January 31, 2026, once th

The primary resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's X account: https://x.com/elonmusk

For an example of what Elon Musk's X pfp was at the time of this market's inception, see this link: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elonmuskpfp_jan6.png

The primary resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's X account: https://x.com/elonmusk

For an example of what Elon Musk's X pfp was at the time of this market's inception, see this link: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elonmuskpfp_jan6.png

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Doomsday Clock is moved by ten seconds or more in either direction (i.e. closer than 80 seconds to midnight, or farther than 98 seconds to midnight, see https://t

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Doomsday Clock is moved by ten seconds or more in either direction (i.e. closer than 80 seconds to midnight, or farther than 98 seconds to midnight, see https://t

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

Description: Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812

CONTEXT: ======== Description: Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812

Description: Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812

Description: Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812

CONTEXT: ======== Description: Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812

Description: Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812

Description: Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812

CONTEXT: ======== Description: Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812

Description: Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812

The market will resolve according to the final listed sale price including any premiums or auction fees included in the listed figure on Goldin (see: https://goldin.co/item/1999-pokemon-base-set-1st-e

The market will resolve according to the final listed sale price including any premiums or auction fees included in the listed figure on Goldin (see: https://goldin.co/item/1999-pokemon-base-set-1st-e

Description: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits the specified number of views by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.  Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast).

CONTEXT: ======== Description: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits the specified number of views by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.  Otherwise, this market will resolve to 

Description: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits the specified number of views by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.  Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast).

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the NVIDIA (NVDA) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle inte

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the NVIDIA (NVDA) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle inte

The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).

The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).

The resolution source will be DoorDash investor relations earnings materials (https://ir.doordash.com/financials/quarterly-results/).

The resolution source will be DoorDash investor relations earnings materials (https://ir.doordash.com/financials/quarterly-results/).

Description: Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.

CONTEXT: ======== Description: Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: ht

Description: Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official results published by the Carabao Cup / EFL Cup (https://www.efl.com/competitions/carabao-cup/).

The primary resolution source for this market will be official results published by the Carabao Cup / EFL Cup (https://www.efl.com/competitions/carabao-cup/).

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Low" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle interv

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Low" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle interv

"market_id": "614397",       "title": "Will Elle Fanning be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?",       "description": "The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scienc

"title": "Will Elle Fanning be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?",       "description": "The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstandi

"description": "The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are sche

"market_id": "638650",       "title": "Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?",       "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the booster for the twelfth Starship-SuperHeavy test is succe

"title": "Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?",       "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the booster for the twelfth Starship-SuperHeavy test is successfully caught by the chopsti

"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the booster for the twelfth Starship-SuperHeavy test is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower during its landing attempt. Otherwise, this market will resolve

"market_id": "618531",       "title": "Will Ethan Hawke be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?",       "description": "The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to 

"title": "Will Ethan Hawke be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?",       "description": "The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic an

"description": "The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are sche

"market_id": "614713",       "title": "Will Guillermo del Toro be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?",       "description": "The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (

"title": "Will Guillermo del Toro be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?",       "description": "The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding a

"description": "The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are sche

#!/usr/bin/env python3

#!/usr/bin/env python3

#!/usr/bin/env python3

#!/usr/bin/env python3

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#!/usr/bin/env python3

API Docs: https://docs.polymarket.com/

BASE_URL = "https://gamma-api.polymarket.com"

def __init__(self):         self.session = requests.Session()

self.session = requests.Session()

"description": market.get("description", ""),         "slug": market.get("slug", ""),         "url": f"https://polymarket.com/event/{market.get('slug', '')}",

"url": f"https://polymarket.com/event/{market.get('slug', '')}",

#!/usr/bin/env python3

#!/usr/bin/env python3

#!/usr/bin/env python3

**Character**: A landslide, fully expected continuation of incumbent BJP power and a historic rout for the opposition. **Drift**: None — resolved cleanly on May 4 as scheduled. **Sources**: https://www.indiatvnews.com/north-east/assam/assam

**Sources**: https://www.indiatvnews.com/north-east/assam/assam-election-result-2026-live-updates-himanta-biswa-sarma-led-bjp-wins-setback-for-congress-1039454 ; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Assam_Legislative_Assembly_election

**Character**: A dramatic, upset-heavy round featuring two rare 3-1 comebacks (Detroit, Philadelphia) and a No. 1-seed sweep by OKC — a mix of dominance and chaos. **Drift**: None — first round resolved within its window. **Sources**: https

**Sources**: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_NBA_playoffs ; https://www.cbssports.com/nba/news/2026-nba-playoff-bracket-matchups-schedule/ ; https://www.nbcsports.com/nba/news/2026-nba-playoffs-bracket-schedule-scores-matchups

**Character**: A turbulent, upset-laden first round in which three of the four top seeds were eliminated, headlined by Montreal's seven-game upset of Tampa Bay and Anaheim's ouster of Edmonton. **Drift**: None — resolved within window. **So

**Sources**: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Stanley_Cup_playoffs ; https://www.cbssports.com/nhl/news/nhl-playoffs-2026-stanley-cup-schedule-bracket-scores-results/ ; https://www.nhl.com/news/2026-stanley-cup-playoffs-first-round-schedu

**Character**: A dramatic longshot upset with a historic milestone — a 23-1 closer running down the favorite, and the first-ever female-trained Derby winner. **Drift**: None — run on schedule May 2. **Sources**: https://en.wikipedia.org/wik

**Sources**: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Kentucky_Derby ; https://www.foxnews.com/sports/golden-tempo-wins-2026-kentucky-derby ; https://sports.yahoo.com/horse-racing/live/kentucky-derby-2026-live-updates-horses-post-time-odds-payout

**Character**: A thrilling but controlled win from pole — Antonelli managing late pressure rather than a chaotic crash-fest, continuing his standout start to the season. **Drift**: None — race completed May 3. **Sources**: https://www.formu

**Sources**: https://www.formula1.com/en/latest/article/antonelli-wins-thrilling-miami-grand-prix-from-norris-and-piastri.2bxaKuYKJjxlXx8KOJf7lc ; https://racingnews365.com/2026-f1-miami-grand-prix-results ; https://sports.yahoo.com/f1/brea

**Character**: A high-profile, on-theme spectacle headlined by Beyoncé's co-chair debut and a family appearance — celebratory rather than controversial. **Drift**: None — held on schedule May 4. **Sources**: https://www.cbsnews.com/newyork/

**Sources**: https://www.cbsnews.com/newyork/live-updates/met-gala-2026-red-carpet-arrivals-celebrity-pictures/ ; https://www.aol.com/articles/2026-met-gala-theme-revealed-183508939.html

**Character**: A political earthquake — a historic Reform UK surge punishing both the Labour government and the Conservatives, fragmenting council control. **Drift**: None — elections held and counted within window. **Sources**: https://www

**Sources**: https://www.lgcplus.com/politics/governance-and-structure/live-blog-local-election-results-2026-08-05-2026/ ; https://www.localgov.co.uk/Local-Elections-2026-Results-show-Reform-surge-and-Labour-losses/64328 ; https://electoral

**Character**: A franchise-record but ultimately underwhelming debut — a strong domestic number that lost the weekend No. 1 spot and disappointed internationally. **Drift**: DATE DRIFT — the seed estimated a May 15 opening, but the film act

**Sources**: https://bloody-disgusting.com/movie/3950740/mortal-kombat-ii-opening-weekend-box-office-hits-40-million-in-the-united-states/ ; https://variety.com/2026/film/box-office/devil-wears-prada-2-box-office-first-place-mortal-kombat-2

**Character**: A tight, low-scoring 1–0 decided by a single piece of moment-of-quality finishing in the second half — narrow rather than a blowout. **Drift**: none **Sources**: https://www.thefa.com/news/2026/may/16/emirates-fa-cup-final-ch

**Sources**: https://www.thefa.com/news/2026/may/16/emirates-fa-cup-final-chelsea-v-manchester-city-report-20261605 ; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_FA_Cup_final ; https://www.mancity.com/news/mens/fa-cup-final-chelsea-may-2026-match-re

**Character**: A clear opposition victory and decisive power transition, ending a decade of incumbent (MpD) rule. **Drift**: none — the ruling party did NOT keep its mandate; it was ousted. **Sources**: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Ca

**Sources**: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Cape_Verdean_parliamentary_election ; https://www.africanews.com/2026/05/29/ruling-bloc-ousted-as-opposition-paicv-secures-clear-parliamentary-win/ ; https://clubofmozambique.com/news/cape-ver

**Character**: A turbulent, upset-heavy opening week — multiple top seeds tumbling left one of the most open draws in years. **Drift**: none (scope is first week only, as requested; final not included). **Sources**: https://www.si.com/onsi/

**Sources**: https://www.si.com/onsi/serve/news/10-biggest-upsets-from-round-1-french-open ; https://doittennis.com/blogs/news/roland-garros-2026-the-biggest-upsets-so-far-seeds-falling-left-and-right-in-paris ; https://teamgenius.com/frenc

**Character**: A large-scale, AI-saturated keynote with Gemini as the dominant theme spanning models, apps, Android, and hardware/eyewear. **Drift**: none **Sources**: https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/sundar-pichai-io-2026/ ; https://d

**Sources**: https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/sundar-pichai-io-2026/ ; https://developers.googleblog.com/all-the-news-from-the-google-io-2026-developer-keynote/ ; https://www.tomsguide.com/news/live/google-io-2026-live-news-updates

**Character**: A broad, confident enterprise-AI infrastructure showcase positioning Dell around agentic AI and on-premises AI hardware at scale. **Drift**: none **Sources**: https://www.dell.com/en-us/dt/corporate/newsroom/announcements/det

**Sources**: https://www.dell.com/en-us/dt/corporate/newsroom/announcements/detailpage.press-releases~usa~2026~05~dell-technologies-closes-the-gap-between-ai-ambition-and-ai-outcomes.htm ; https://www.dell.com/en-us/blog/dell-technologies-w

**Character**: A close, highly polarized two-way result (~2.8-point gap) that set up a right-vs-left runoff in a post-Petro realignment; no outright winner. **Drift**: none — resolved as a first round producing a runoff (as the event framin

**Sources**: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Colombian_presidential_election ; https://www.cnn.com/2026/05/31/americas/colombia-runoff-espriella-cepeda-latam-intl ; https://www.as-coa.org/articles/four-takeaways-colombias-first-round-vot

**Character**: A dramatic, tightly contested final — an early Arsenal lead pegged back, then settled only on penalties; about as close as a final can be. **Drift**: none. Venue verification: the 2026 final WAS played at Puskás Aréna, Budape

**Sources**: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_UEFA_Champions_League_final ; https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/news/029a-1df98e9a78ca-1acaca3c53b0-1000--2026-uefa-champions-league-final-puskas-arena/

#!/usr/bin/env python3

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