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garroshub/ai-economist-skill

An installable agent skill for macroeconomic nowcasting and monetary-policy analysis. Structural statistical baselines with ML calibration for GDP forecasts and policy-rate signals (US and Canada), with out-of-sample backtesting, data-timing controls, and interpretable model comparisons.

Data

History

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Individual skills in this repository

economics-ml economics-ml

How it works

When your agent uses it

What it loads into context

Frontmatter

0 tokens

Always available to the agent

SKILL.md

1,263 tokens

When the skill is activated

Reference documents

0 tokens

Loaded on request

Token counts are estimates. Scripts run separately; they are not counted as reference context.

The playbook

Interface
Operating Principles
Default Agent Behavior
Non-Script Analysis Mode
Supported Analysis Layers
Report Templates
Commands
Data Requirements

Scripts executed separately

backtest_engine.py
main.py
src/__init__.py
src/core/__init__.py
src/core/modeling_core.py
src/core/visual_oracle.py
src/data_utils/__init__.py
src/data_utils/macro_data_fetcher.py
src/data_utils/statcan_fetcher.py
src/engine/__init__.py
src/engine/gdp_nowcast_engine.py
src/engine/policy_rate_engine.py

Files

SKILL.mdcore6,181 bytes
SKILL.mdcore6,181 bytes
SKILL.mdcore6,181 bytes
SKILL.mdcore6,181 bytes
SKILL.mdcore6,181 bytes
SKILL.mdcore6,181 bytes
backtest_engine.pyruns22,797 bytes
main.pyruns1,218 bytes
requirements.txtdoc65 bytes
src/__init__.pyruns0 bytes
src/core/__init__.pyruns0 bytes
src/core/modeling_core.pyruns2,682 bytes
src/core/visual_oracle.pyruns2,497 bytes
src/data_utils/__init__.pyruns0 bytes
src/data_utils/macro_data_fetcher.pyruns5,406 bytes
src/data_utils/statcan_fetcher.pyruns1,269 bytes
src/engine/__init__.pyruns0 bytes
src/engine/gdp_nowcast_engine.pyruns13,747 bytes
src/engine/policy_rate_engine.pyruns22,091 bytes

Read SKILL.md

# Economics ML Skill

Use this skill for macroeconomic nowcasting, central-bank policy diagnostics,
economics-oriented ML calibration, and validation reports.

## Interface

Treat this as an agent skill first. A runtime installation should include this
file, `requirements.txt`, `main.py`, `backtest_engine.py`, and `src/`. Use the
bundled Python scripts when the user asks for a live run, fresh backtest,
regenerated dashboard snapshot, or reproducible artifact. For interpretive
questions, answer from the latest available report, snapshot, user-supplied
numbers, or cited public data.

## Operating Principles

View the complete source on GitHub

Skills included

Repository facts

License: MIT
Created: Feb 2, 2026
Last pushed: Oct 8, 2026
Forks: 5
Open issues: 0
Project activity: Active

Before you install

Network or broad shell

Automated signals, not a guarantee

Checked Nov 5, 2026

Not fully analyzed: some files were too long, unreadable or missing. This never lowers the level.

Show 5 notes

economics-ml/SKILL.md:1 Analysis incomplete: Referenced executable target unavailable; not analyzed
economics-ml/SKILL.md:1 Analysis incomplete: Referenced executable target unavailable; not analyzed
economics-ml/SKILL.md:1 Analysis incomplete: Referenced executable target unavailable; not analyzed
economics-ml/SKILL.md:1 Analysis incomplete: Referenced executable target unavailable; not analyzed
economics-ml/SKILL.md:1 Analysis incomplete: Referenced executable target unavailable; not analyzed

No broad tool permissions
No dangerous shell commands
38 network referencesin 4 files: economics-ml/src/engine/gdp_nowcast_engine.py:31 economics-ml/src/data_utils/macro_data_fetcher.py:9 economics-ml/backtest_engine.py:21 and 1 more
No hidden or obfuscated text
No instruction overrides
12 executable scriptsin 12 files: economics-ml/backtest_engine.py:1 economics-ml/main.py:1 economics-ml/src/__init__.py:1 and 9 more
13 references to secretsin 4 files: economics-ml/src/engine/gdp_nowcast_engine.py:19 economics-ml/src/data_utils/macro_data_fetcher.py:9 economics-ml/backtest_engine.py:15 and 1 more
No requests to vote in Hot

Show all 63 signals by file

`economics-ml/SKILL.md`

Access to secretsline 206
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`economics-ml/backtest_engine.py`

Executable scriptline 1
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Network accessline 21

def __init__(self):         self.fred_url = "https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations"

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self.fred_url = "https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations"

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}         try:             response = requests.get(self.fred_url, params=params, timeout=15)

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try:             response = requests.get(self.fred_url, params=params, timeout=15)             response.raise_for_status()

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response = requests.get(self.fred_url, params=params, timeout=15)

`economics-ml/main.py`

Executable scriptline 1
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`economics-ml/src/init.py`

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`economics-ml/src/core/init.py`

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`economics-ml/src/core/modeling_core.py`

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`economics-ml/src/core/visual_oracle.py`

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`economics-ml/src/data_utils/init.py`

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`economics-ml/src/data_utils/macro_data_fetcher.py`

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self.fred_base_url = "https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations"

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}         try:             response = requests.get(self.fred_base_url, params=params, timeout=15)

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try:             response = requests.get(self.fred_base_url, params=params, timeout=15)             response.raise_for_status()

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response = requests.get(self.fred_base_url, params=params, timeout=15)

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url = "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.t01.htm"

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}         try:             response = requests.get(url, headers=headers, timeout=15)

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try:             response = requests.get(url, headers=headers, timeout=15)             response.raise_for_status()

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response = requests.get(url, headers=headers, timeout=15)

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url = "https://www.bankofcanada.ca/rates/indicators/capacity-and-inflation-pressures/"

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try:             resp = requests.get(url, headers=headers, timeout=15)

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resp = requests.get(url, headers=headers, timeout=15)

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print("--- Testing BLS Direct Fetch (US Unemployment) ---")

`economics-ml/src/data_utils/statcan_fetcher.py`

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Executable file
```

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class StatCanDataFetcher:     RETAIL_SALES_URL = "https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/tbl/csv/20100056-eng.zip"

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RETAIL_SALES_URL = "https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/tbl/csv/20100056-eng.zip"

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def fetch_canada_retail_sales(self):         try:             response = requests.get(self.RETAIL_SALES_URL, timeout=20)

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try:             response = requests.get(self.RETAIL_SALES_URL, timeout=20)             response.raise_for_status()

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response = requests.get(self.RETAIL_SALES_URL, timeout=20)

`economics-ml/src/engine/init.py`

Executable scriptline 1
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Executable file
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`economics-ml/src/engine/gdp_nowcast_engine.py`

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def __init__(self, country="US"):         self.country = country         self.fred_url = "https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations"

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self.country = country         self.fred_url = "https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations"         self.now = get_toronto_now()

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self.fred_url = "https://api.stlouisfed.org/fred/series/observations"

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try:             r = requests.get(url, timeout=10).json()             if "observations" not in r:

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r = requests.get(url, timeout=10).json()

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feeds = [             "https://www.investing.com/rss/news_25.rss",

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"https://www.investing.com/rss/news_25.rss",

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```
"https://www.bankofcanada.ca/feed/",
```

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try:             for url in feeds:                 resp = requests.get(

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for url in feeds:                 resp = requests.get(                     url, timeout=10, headers={"User-Agent": "Mozilla/5.0"}

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```
resp = requests.get(
```

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base_url = "https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien"

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try:                 resp = requests.get(url, timeout=3)

Network accessline 198
```
resp = requests.get(url, timeout=3)
```
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```

`economics-ml/src/engine/policy_rate_engine.py`

Executable scriptline 1
```
Executable file
```

How the signals fit together

Facts from a static read of the files at the pinned commit. They describe what the code does, not why.

Declared and executed: 9 facts

Contacts api.stlouisfed.org, which SKILL.md, the README and the plugin manifest do not mentioneconomics-ml/backtest_engine.py:22High confidence
Contacts api.stlouisfed.org, which SKILL.md, the README and the plugin manifest do not mentioneconomics-ml/src/data_utils/macro_data_fetcher.py:11High confidence
Contacts www.bls.gov, which SKILL.md, the README and the plugin manifest do not mentioneconomics-ml/src/data_utils/macro_data_fetcher.py:38High confidence
Contacts www.bankofcanada.ca, which SKILL.md, the README and the plugin manifest do not mentioneconomics-ml/src/data_utils/macro_data_fetcher.py:69High confidence
Contacts www150.statcan.gc.ca, which SKILL.md, the README and the plugin manifest do not mentioneconomics-ml/src/data_utils/statcan_fetcher.py:9High confidence
Contacts api.stlouisfed.org, which SKILL.md, the README and the plugin manifest do not mentioneconomics-ml/src/engine/gdp_nowcast_engine.py:33High confidence
Contacts www.investing.com, which SKILL.md, the README and the plugin manifest do not mentioneconomics-ml/src/engine/gdp_nowcast_engine.py:95High confidence
Contacts www.bankofcanada.ca, which SKILL.md, the README and the plugin manifest do not mentioneconomics-ml/src/engine/gdp_nowcast_engine.py:96High confidence
Contacts www150.statcan.gc.ca, which SKILL.md, the README and the plugin manifest do not mentioneconomics-ml/src/engine/gdp_nowcast_engine.py:187High confidence

Signal confidence: 63 facts

Access to secrets in prose of the SKILL.mdeconomics-ml/SKILL.md:206Low confidence
Executable script in code of a file that runseconomics-ml/backtest_engine.py:1High confidence
Access to secrets in code of a file that runs: a variable, placeholder or call, not a stored valueeconomics-ml/backtest_engine.py:15Low confidence
Network access in code of a file that runseconomics-ml/backtest_engine.py:21High confidence
Network access in code of a file that runseconomics-ml/backtest_engine.py:22High confidence
Access to secrets in code of a file that runseconomics-ml/backtest_engine.py:92High confidence
Access to secrets in code of a file that runseconomics-ml/backtest_engine.py:97High confidence
Network access in code of a file that runseconomics-ml/backtest_engine.py:101High confidence
Network access in code of a file that runseconomics-ml/backtest_engine.py:102High confidence
Network access in code of a file that runseconomics-ml/backtest_engine.py:103High confidence
Executable script in code of a file that runseconomics-ml/main.py:1High confidence
Executable script in prose of a file that runseconomics-ml/src/__init__.py:1Low confidence
Executable script in prose of a file that runseconomics-ml/src/core/__init__.py:1Low confidence
Executable script in code of a file that runseconomics-ml/src/core/modeling_core.py:1High confidence
Executable script in code of a file that runseconomics-ml/src/core/visual_oracle.py:1High confidence
Executable script in prose of a file that runseconomics-ml/src/data_utils/__init__.py:1Low confidence
Executable script in code of a file that runseconomics-ml/src/data_utils/macro_data_fetcher.py:1High confidence
Network access in code of a file that runseconomics-ml/src/data_utils/macro_data_fetcher.py:9High confidence
Access to secrets in code of a file that runs: a variable, placeholder or call, not a stored valueeconomics-ml/src/data_utils/macro_data_fetcher.py:9Low confidence
Access to secrets in code of a file that runs: a variable, placeholder or call, not a stored valueeconomics-ml/src/data_utils/macro_data_fetcher.py:10Low confidence
Network access in code of a file that runseconomics-ml/src/data_utils/macro_data_fetcher.py:11High confidence
Access to secrets in code of a file that runseconomics-ml/src/data_utils/macro_data_fetcher.py:15High confidence
Access to secrets in code of a file that runseconomics-ml/src/data_utils/macro_data_fetcher.py:20High confidence
Network access in code of a file that runseconomics-ml/src/data_utils/macro_data_fetcher.py:24High confidence
Network access in code of a file that runseconomics-ml/src/data_utils/macro_data_fetcher.py:25High confidence
Network access in code of a file that runseconomics-ml/src/data_utils/macro_data_fetcher.py:26High confidence
Network access in code of a file that runseconomics-ml/src/data_utils/macro_data_fetcher.py:38High confidence
Network access in code of a file that runseconomics-ml/src/data_utils/macro_data_fetcher.py:41High confidence
Network access in code of a file that runseconomics-ml/src/data_utils/macro_data_fetcher.py:42High confidence
Network access in code of a file that runseconomics-ml/src/data_utils/macro_data_fetcher.py:43High confidence
Network access in code of a file that runseconomics-ml/src/data_utils/macro_data_fetcher.py:69High confidence
Network access in code of a file that runseconomics-ml/src/data_utils/macro_data_fetcher.py:74High confidence
Network access in code of a file that runseconomics-ml/src/data_utils/macro_data_fetcher.py:75High confidence
Network access in code of a file that runseconomics-ml/src/data_utils/macro_data_fetcher.py:127High confidence
Executable script in code of a file that runseconomics-ml/src/data_utils/statcan_fetcher.py:1High confidence
Network access in code of a file that runseconomics-ml/src/data_utils/statcan_fetcher.py:8High confidence
Network access in code of a file that runseconomics-ml/src/data_utils/statcan_fetcher.py:9High confidence
Network access in code of a file that runseconomics-ml/src/data_utils/statcan_fetcher.py:31High confidence
Network access in code of a file that runseconomics-ml/src/data_utils/statcan_fetcher.py:32High confidence
Network access in code of a file that runseconomics-ml/src/data_utils/statcan_fetcher.py:33High confidence
Executable script in prose of a file that runseconomics-ml/src/engine/__init__.py:1Low confidence
Executable script in code of a file that runseconomics-ml/src/engine/gdp_nowcast_engine.py:1High confidence
Access to secrets in code of a file that runs: a variable, placeholder or call, not a stored valueeconomics-ml/src/engine/gdp_nowcast_engine.py:19Low confidence
Network access in code of a file that runseconomics-ml/src/engine/gdp_nowcast_engine.py:31High confidence
Network access in code of a file that runseconomics-ml/src/engine/gdp_nowcast_engine.py:32High confidence
Network access in code of a file that runseconomics-ml/src/engine/gdp_nowcast_engine.py:33High confidence
Access to secrets in code of a file that runseconomics-ml/src/engine/gdp_nowcast_engine.py:77High confidence
Network access in code of a file that runseconomics-ml/src/engine/gdp_nowcast_engine.py:80High confidence
Access to secrets in code of a file that runseconomics-ml/src/engine/gdp_nowcast_engine.py:80High confidence
Network access in code of a file that runseconomics-ml/src/engine/gdp_nowcast_engine.py:81High confidence

and 13 more

Works with

Agent compatibility, from the files in this repository
Agent	Status	Evidence
Claude Code	Unknown	No evidence
Codex	Unknown	No evidence
Cursor	Unknown	No evidence
Gemini CLI	Unknown	No evidence
GitHub Copilot	Unknown	No evidence
OpenCode	Unknown	No evidence

Native The repository ships a manifest, folder or frontmatter field for this agent.
Compatible A standard SKILL.md that this agent can read.
Unknown No evidence either way.

Derived automatically from paths, manifests and frontmatter. Not tested on each agent.

garroshub/ai-economist-skill

History

economics-ml/SKILL.md

Share this page

Heat

Stars over time

Individual skills in this repository

How it works

Frontmatter

SKILL.md

Reference documents

The playbook

Scripts executed separately

Files

Skills included

Repository facts

Before you install

economics-ml/SKILL.md

economics-ml/backtest_engine.py

economics-ml/main.py

economics-ml/src/__init__.py

economics-ml/src/core/__init__.py

economics-ml/src/core/modeling_core.py

economics-ml/src/core/visual_oracle.py

economics-ml/src/data_utils/__init__.py

economics-ml/src/data_utils/macro_data_fetcher.py

economics-ml/src/data_utils/statcan_fetcher.py

economics-ml/src/engine/__init__.py

economics-ml/src/engine/gdp_nowcast_engine.py

economics-ml/src/engine/policy_rate_engine.py

How the signals fit together

Works with

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`economics-ml/SKILL.md`

`economics-ml/SKILL.md`

`economics-ml/backtest_engine.py`

`economics-ml/main.py`

`economics-ml/src/init.py`

`economics-ml/src/core/init.py`

`economics-ml/src/core/modeling_core.py`

`economics-ml/src/core/visual_oracle.py`

`economics-ml/src/data_utils/init.py`

`economics-ml/src/data_utils/macro_data_fetcher.py`

`economics-ml/src/data_utils/statcan_fetcher.py`

`economics-ml/src/engine/init.py`

`economics-ml/src/engine/gdp_nowcast_engine.py`

`economics-ml/src/engine/policy_rate_engine.py`